Probability originates from gambling. We talk about probability when we
deal with random experiment expecting some results or events that have some certain
chance to occur. Mathematics, along with set theory is the relevant tool
to solve related problems. A random experiment has three properties: 1. We cannot predict
with certainty the result of an experiment. 2. we can describe, before the experiment all
the possible results that could happen. 3. We can repeat the same experiment as long as
we want.
The set of the possibles results for a random experiment is called the sample space,
and denoted by "S". There is not only one S for an experiment but many. We have to choose
the complete and precise one.
For example, let's have the set :
books = {Physics1, Physics2, Physics3, Math1, Math2}.
If we consider the radom experiment "Get two books" from the set books, the set "books" can
be the sample space S, but the better one, with the better description is S = books x books
= {(Physics1, Physics2), (Physics1, Physics3), (Physics1, Math1), (Physics1, Math2),
(Physics2, Physics3), (Physics2, Math1), (Physics2, Math2), (Physics3, Math1), (Physics3, Math2)
, (Math1, Math2)}.
If with this random experiement, we are interested in "Get one Physics book and one Math book",
we can write all the related paires from S in the set A = {(Physics1, Math1), (Physics1, Math2),
(Physics2, Math1), (Physics2, Math2), (Physics3, Math1), (Physics3, Math2)}. The expression
"Get one Physics book and one Math book" or its corresponding subset "A" is called
event.
A sample space can be countable or continuous, finite or infinite.
An event can be certain, impossible, simple if it contains only one
element like A = {Math}, or compound if it contains more than one element. Note that
we use often Venn diagrams to beter understand the relationships between events.
Random experiment
sample space: S event set theory Venn diagram
Today: :
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